But too much might provoke a direct NATO conflict with nuclear-armed Russia.
Too little could guarantee a Russian victory.
When the invasion came, the Ukrainians would need significant new weaponry to defend themselves. and allied answer to earlier Russian aggression there had been uncertain and divided. Ukraine was a troubled former Soviet republic with a history of corruption, and the U.S.
(Emily Sabens/The Washington Post Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post iStock) Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. withdrawal from Afghanistan, and four years of President Donald Trump seeking to undermine the alliance, it was far from certain that Biden could effectively lead a Western response to an expansionist Russia. After a disastrous occupation of Iraq, the chaos that followed the U.S. Yet NATO was far from unified on how to deal with Moscow, and U.S. It was a plan of staggering audacity, one that could pose a direct threat to NATO’s eastern flank, or even destroy the post-World War II security architecture of Europe.Īs he absorbed the briefing, Biden, who had taken office promising to keep the country out of new wars, was determined that Putin must either be deterred or confronted, and that the United States must not act alone. Using mounted maps on easels in front of the Resolute Desk, Milley showed Russian troop positions and the Ukrainian terrain they intended to conquer. Much more radical than Moscow’s 2014 annexation of Crimea and instigation of a separatist movement in eastern Ukraine, Putin’s war plans envisioned a takeover of most of the country. intelligence community had penetrated multiple points of Russia’s political leadership, spying apparatus and military, from senior levels to the front lines, according to U.S. Tasked by Sullivan with putting together a comprehensive overview of Russia’s intentions, they told Biden that the intelligence on Putin’s operational plans, added to ongoing deployments along the border with Ukraine, showed that all the pieces were now in place for a massive assault. Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, joined the directors of national intelligence and the CIA on sofas around the coffee table. Biden and Vice President Harris took their places in armchairs before the fireplace, while Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and Gen. The session was one of several meetings that officials had about Ukraine that autumn - sometimes gathering in smaller groups - but was notable for the detailed intelligence picture that was presented. ROAD TO WAR: Read key takeaways ChevronRight
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